Saturday, June 21, 2008

Options for the Day

Long card of 9 events framed and there could be some surprises in store.

These are my views for the day ;If any of these turn out to be on money favorites it makes sense to back another Horse for Place.


First race ;


The well bred filly Aveline is tracking extremely well and has the potential to run away with the race even without much assistance from the rider.


Leopardino : has the services of a hard taskmaster.But bloodlines are not that impressive to justify a WIN against some quality opposition.

Tern Me On : has been blazing the tracks.May do well.

Great Honour and Fox Haven: With the benefit of a race run one of these can at best place.


My Bet : Aveline WIN and Tern me On Place.



Second Race :

Reflection of Gold :has opted to run in lower class after finishing afarway 5 th to the classic hopeful Fantastic Quest.The top weight may hamper its progress.Place seems certain.

Glorious Princess : Place.

Ravileena : been working regularly in the tracks giving the indication that it may be in the reckoning.Upset Horse.

Gris Rapide : Well placed on handicap.Should easily place.


My Bet : Reflection of Gold and Gris Rapide Place.



Third Race :

Toofan Express : not here.

Originality : may be fancied based on the close 2 nd to TOMSK.To me it looks a good negative bet at odds of EVEN money or less.

Dash On Regardless : Consistent horse from Hyderabad.Rookie is entrusted with the JOB.Keep an eye.

Sunny Baba : last outing over 1400 was to get a feel of the race track.Is speedy enough to scare the fancied runners.

Spark of Isis : has come back to sprint after 3 runs over 7 furlongs ?? Not sure if i the decision is going to be fruitful.

My bet : Originality Negative - Sunny Baba Each way.Dash on Regardless : Small bet for place.



Fourth race :

bad bad bad Race , but SENNA will be in 1 - 2.that is for sure.

I do expect Kandiate also to place.

Senna : WIN / Shp and Kandiate Place.



Fifth race :

Ivory Snow : may be difficult for place also.

Imperial Dream : unfortunately the Horse has not been worked at frequent intervals to justify a call.

Ice Breaker : If not here , WHEN and WHERE is the ???
In any case a WIN bet is not going to fetch more than 40 % return.

Greens : Stable is capable of surprising everyone at regular intervals.Should place.

Atlantus : Long shot purely for place.

My bet : Greens Shp and Place.


Sixth Race :

Attain : Impressive 4 th to Fleeting Arrow.May place if the Jockey is up to the task assigned.

Flaming Lamborgini : was flying in the closing stages of race 55.May Surprise.

Logans Run : stable is going through testing times.Horse has the class but intent is always lacking.

Western Command : Last run was good but earlier failures is something one cant wish away.Has WON one race since making debut and is in CLASS 2.Chances are not that rosy.

Scimitar : came close to upset Star Presentation but was unlucky as the Objection was over ruled.One negative on this Horse is its inconsistency.Also i have invariable noticed that it finishes on well only at the last moment.This distance may prove to be sharp.


My bet : Attain each way.Negative on Favorite.


CLASSIC Race :

Fleeting Arrow : On the basis of past performance and current form this Horse should be the front runner.The distance of 1600 is not going to be an issue.Hope APPU obliges.If at all it fails it would be due to bad judgement by the rider.

Archipenko : Has lost Twice to F.Arrow.The distance may be to the liking of this Horse but may be difficult to WIN with C.Alford who is going through some terrible times.

Gentle Knight : Make no Mistake this Horse is capable of extending the best.It is well bred but the choice of Jockey may put off some punters as the Retained riders have opted for the market fancies.

Mark of Gibralter : Sorry , i am not very convinced of its potential.Could be i am not seeing something that many others have observed.Good luck.

Star of Washington : Purely for BLOOD LINES and manner of Winning and the Choice of Jockey it deserves a chance.

Arktouros : Last outing was First run after being gelded.So if one were to ignore the failure as favorite by this reasoning then Good chance for PLACE.

Palazzio's Sun : Has been written off by one and all after the impressive debut WIN in bangalore.Could have had the measure of Mark of Gibralter in race 29 which was WON by Setalight but for some bad judgement from W.Smith.The rider can negate all his earlier losses with a better ride.

Lycia Falcon : Why here ???? In any case good luck to the Trainer who deserves every bit of encouragement.


My Bet : Palazzio's Sun Small bet for WIN but good bet for Place.
Star of Washington : WIN bet covered with a small bet for SHP.

Gentle Knight : Place.

No bets on Fleeting Arrow.



8 th Race :

Lush Foliage : speedy customer.Can place if Celestial Son is not the preferred choice of the Trainer.

Poetic : beaten just Pied Harrier , hence iam not very confident of its Victory which is taken for GRANTED.

Billy Blackjack : may do well in its age group.Not here.

Sound of nature : Fifth to the talented RIMPUCHE.Has stripped fitter after the debut run in bangalore.

Celestial Son : failed favorite in race 30 as On a Roll was too good.Can make amends.In both divisions of this Plate , I see MAM and Neil Horses.Lok up for the clues at race time and make the decision.

Marcegalia :Regal ransom has WON 2 races very Convincingly after its defeat at the hands of Marcegalia. It only means that the Victory with L.Marshall was Set up or to put it the other way this horse is very talented.

My bet : Negative on Poetic.Celestial Son : Place. Marcegalia : Each way.


Last race :

Masquenada : its previous WIN against some poor opposition no doubt but this Horse has the capability to strike as the manner of Winning was very impressive.

Welcome Back : Place only.

Cimmaron : Mallya Stable was in full flow on saturday with the 4 expected runners PLACING .So on that grounds i would avoid this HORSE on Sunday.

Blink / Swift Fire : Eshwar to decide.


Masquenada : Good bet for WIN with a small amount on SHP to cover the WIN bet.


Good day,

Shyam

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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