Saturday, May 24, 2008

Set Alight / Palazzio Sun for the Fernhill Million

1.

Regal ransom , Your Destiny and Marcegalia are the ones to be considered for betting based on the odds at race time.Your Destiny is looking good and should easily place.Marcegalia though ridden by L Marshall stands a chance due to the poor set.This being a TERMS RACE, Attatruk being entrusted to a APPRENTICE Jockey makes no SENSE whatsoever.

2.

Noble View can WIN .Neel Gagan and Flair Queen can place. Unless W Smith Wins a race in bangalore , it is prudent to avoid all his Horses.Caprioska is a very good Horse but having seen the quality of HIS rides , one should be BRAVE to TIP his Horses.Shoot a Rainbow also shares the same qualities as Ryan Marshall has a very solid reputation in this reagrd.

3.

With 5 outstation trainers ( 3 hyd 2 mysore ) and 2 inconsistent trainers from Bangalore ( Nityanand and Karan ) We are left with few choices.Could be a race made up for SAFARI.Sayonara and Pinaakini are the Horses which can run close.Atlantus has better saddle assistance compared the Hyderabad based horses and may PLACE.


4.

Race for RIMPUCHE ??
Valiant bay is expected to finish on board.Act Smart or Sound of nature may place by default as the rest have no credibility to participate in the race.

5.
Set Alight : High Expectations based on the 3 WINS in Mumbai but Giving weight to many horses.Shp betting would be a better option as Mallesh Narredu is doing duty.I am sure none of the visitors to this BLOG bet on Horses which offer 25 or 30 paisa odds.

Rare and Precious : Place by default.

Mark of Gibralter.One Great Run then a Dismal RUN.So the performance is a ????

Cassandra : Ryan.

Fantastic Quest : has won a race in Winter with a measure of comfort but not in this class.

Royal Amber : May place purely on JOCKEY merit.

Palazzio's Sun : Chance for W Smith to redeem his reputation.I would go in for a each way bet on this Horse as it had finished 3 rd to Set Alight earlier in Mumbai.


6.

Hyper Kinetic is well bred and can provide the Hyderabad based trainer a WIN.

Celestial Son is also tracking well and should place by default.

Scenic Melody : after a set back ran 2 BAd races.So not sure of its capability.

Good Companion and On a Roll are not seen in tracks and hence ignored.


7.
Van De Star : out handicapped.

Agassiz : Current Owner taken for a ride after being made to buy a ordinary
horse.Has just WON one class iv race , but has particpated in some hgh profile events.Not here unfortunately.

Rapido Gonsalves : Jockey has no merit or credibility.

Lucky numberslevin : SHOULD EASILY PLACE.good each way bet.

Alchesaye : if the Jcokey is upto the task can easily WIN.Last run was with Mallesh in the saddle and as Brother's EL Gordo was also in the fray our FRIEND lost some distance at the start.

EL Gordo : Won at 30 to 1 on the last day in Winter.May at best place.

Others : Also Ran cases.


8.Vb Race ; less said the better.

good day

2 comments:

RB said...

WELL WRITTEN.
RB.

abeldraj said...

I wish to make my point in the 8th race.
MEXIKAN WAVE ran 4 times in Ban (W) with dockeys like Jagdish Shukla & P.Ramesh in higher class with Steel Plates. Is now running on demotion with Al Plates, with a switch to a superior jockey. The set of runners competing today is very inferior. The odds in his 4 earlier runs were 60 to 1, 20, 30 & 30.His latest run in 242 was good when finishing 4th in a 8 horse field. Today running as a favourite.The only negative aspect is that he is running today at a crushing weight of 62.5 Kgs.

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The author does calculations based on certain mathematical theories which have been formulated with experience.

We cannot be winners everyday.It is important that we have a budget and play exactly as per a plan so that even during periods when the "LADY LUCK" deserts us, we still do not end up loosing a lot of money."LADY LUCK" does favour everybody at some point of time and we make returns at that time.


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